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ECMWF physics based probabilistic forecast

Property Value
identifier urn:wmo:md:int-ecmwf:ifs:enfo:short-trajectory
type dataset
created 2025-12-02T14:00:00Z
updated 2026-04-01T10:00:00Z
title ECMWF physics based probabilistic forecast
description Tropical cyclone trajectories from ECMWF physics based probabilistic short forecast provided between step 0 hours and step 144 hours
wmo:dataPolicy core
keywords
  • IFS
  • Physics-based
  • BUFR
  • tropical-cyclone
  • weather
  • prediction
  • probabilistic
  • trajectory
  • medium-range
  • NWP
themes concepts: id: weather
url: https://github.com/wmo-im/wis2-topic-hierarchy/tree/main/topic-hierarchy/earth-system-discipline/index.csv#L2

scheme: https://github.com/wmo-im/wis2-topic-hierarchy/tree/main/topic-hierarchy/earth-system-discipline
concepts: id: prediction
url: https://github.com/wmo-im/wis2-topic-hierarchy/tree/main/topic-hierarchy/earth-system-discipline/weather/index.csv#L4

scheme: https://github.com/wmo-im/wis2-topic-hierarchy/tree/main/topic-hierarchy/earth-system-discipline/weather
concepts: id: forecast
url: https://github.com/wmo-im/wis2-topic-hierarchy/tree/main/topic-hierarchy/earth-system-discipline/weather/prediction/index.csv#L3

scheme: https://github.com/wmo-im/wis2-topic-hierarchy/tree/main/topic-hierarchy/earth-system-discipline/weather/prediction
concepts: id: medium-range
url: https://github.com/wmo-im/wis2-topic-hierarchy/tree/main/topic-hierarchy/earth-system-discipline/weather/prediction/forecast/index.csv#L2

scheme: https://github.com/wmo-im/wis2-topic-hierarchy/tree/main/topic-hierarchy/earth-system-discipline/weather/prediction/forecast
concepts: id: probabilistic
url: https://github.com/wmo-im/wis2-topic-hierarchy/tree/main/topic-hierarchy/earth-system-discipline/weather/prediction/forecast/medium-range/index.csv#L3

scheme: https://github.com/wmo-im/wis2-topic-hierarchy/tree/main/topic-hierarchy/earth-system-discipline/weather/prediction/forecast/medium-range
concepts: id: trajectory
url: https://github.com/wmo-im/wis2-topic-hierarchy/tree/main/topic-hierarchy/earth-system-discipline/weather/prediction/forecast/medium-range/probabilistic/index.csv#L4

scheme: https://github.com/wmo-im/wis2-topic-hierarchy/tree/main/topic-hierarchy/earth-system-discipline/weather/prediction/forecast/medium-range/probabilistic
concepts: id: FM 94 BUFR edition 4
url: https://codes.wmo.int/codeform/_bufr4

scheme: http://codes.wmo.int/codeform
contacts identifier: ECMWF
organization: European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecast
name: ECMWF User support
links: type: text/html
rel: canonical
href: https://support.ecmwf.int

contactInstructions: link
roles: producer host
Links